By Donald Sargent Brouwers | January 2026
1. ORCISM RECOGNITION TEST
Entity Mapping
|
Entity |
Orcism Criteria |
Evidence |
Met? (✅/❌) |
|
Follower |
Underdog identity + moral flexibility + blind loyalty. |
MAGA base justifies 2024 election violence as
"patriotism"; "We’re the real victims" narrative
persists. |
✅ |
|
Dark Lord |
Messianic complex + scapegoating + institutional capture. |
Trump: "I am your retribution" (2024); "biological
weapons" (2025); Project 2025 (60% federal jobs replaced by
loyalists). |
✅ |
|
Horde |
Cohesion + radicalization + self-policing. |
Oath Keepers 2.0
(50K+ members trained in "civil war tactics"); "True
MAGA" loyalty oaths for GOP candidates. |
✅ |
|
Nemesis |
Dehumanized enemy + existential threat framing. |
Immigrants: "biological weapons" (Fox News, 2025);
"Deep State 2.0" (FBI, "woke" military). |
✅ |
|
Quest |
Mythic/apocalyptic goals + self-destructive trade-offs. |
"Last chance to save America" (2026 SOTU); "Christian
Nationalism" as state ideology; NATO withdrawal planned for 2027. |
✅ |
Verdict: 5/5 entities confirmed → MAGA is a Dark
Realm (2026).
2. HEAT TEST
Purpose: Quantify MAGA’s intensity on a 0–10
scale (Ember/Flame/Inferno).
Scoring Breakdown
(2026 Data)
|
Entity |
Traits (0–2 pts each) |
Score |
Evidence |
|
Follower |
Underdog identity (2), moral flexibility (2), blind loyalty (2) |
6 |
Justifies 2024 election violence; "victim" narrative. |
|
Dark Lord |
Messianic complex (2), scapegoating (2), institutional capture (2) |
6 |
"I alone can fix it"; Project 2025; "biological
weapons" rhetoric. |
|
Horde |
Cohesion (2), radicalization (2), self-policing (2) |
6 |
Oath Keepers 2.0; GOP purges (e.g., Liz Cheney). |
|
Nemesis |
Dehumanization (2), existential threat framing (2) |
4 |
"Biological weapons"; "Deep State 2.0". |
|
Quest |
Mythic goals (2), self-destructive trade-offs (2) |
4 |
"Last chance to save America"; NATO withdrawal. |
|
Interactions |
Dark Lord-Horde-Nemesis alignment (2), feedback loops (2) |
4 |
Trump → MAGA → "Deep State" cycle; Project 2025 reinforces
all entities. |
Total Score: 30/30 → 10/10 (Inferno).
Trend: "Escalated from 8/10 (2024) to
10/10 (2026) due to Project 2025’s institutional purge and ‘biological
weapons’ dehumanization."
3. ACTOR DYNAMICS
Key Players and
Their Moves
|
Actor |
Power Levers |
Weaknesses |
Prospects (2026–2028) |
|
Trump (Dark Lord) |
Charisma, Project 2025, Supreme Court (7-2), "enemy"
framing. |
Legal vulnerabilities (Georgia RICO case), economic instability (2026
recession). |
2027: May declare emergency
powers to bypass Congress. 2028: Supreme Court could legalize
third term. |
|
MAGA Horde |
Oath Keepers 2.0, "True MAGA" oaths, Fox News echo chamber. |
Fragmentation (GOP infighting), overreach (unpopular policies like
NATO withdrawal). |
2027: Attempts to
seize state governments (e.g., Texas). |
|
Nemesis Groups |
ACLU lawsuits, international solidarity (EU asylum for journalists). |
Limited media access, legal suppression (e.g., "groomer"
laws). |
2026–2028: Growing
exile networks (e.g., Cheney’s Democracy Defense Fund). |
|
Profiteers |
Fossil fuel lobby (deregulation), military contractors ("civil
war prep"). |
Public exposure (OpenSecrets leaks), backlash from economic
instability. |
2026–2028: Shift
alliances if Trump’s stability wanes. |
|
Resisters |
Lincoln Project 2.0, state-level prosecutions (Georgia RICO), exile
media. |
Lack of unified strategy, resource constraints. |
2026–2028: Focus
on legal challenges (e.g., Supreme Court cases) and transnational
alliances. |
|
Free Peoples’ Realms |
EU sanctions, Canadian asylum for journalists, blue-state resistance
(CA/NY). |
Slow response time, internal divisions (e.g., Democratic Party
infighting). |
2026–2028: Coordinate
sanctions on Profiteers; support Resisters via exile havens. |
|
Borderlands |
Dutch courts (blocking Wilders’ extremes), Italian resistance to
Meloni’s overreach. |
Vulnerability to populist spillover (e.g., Wilders’ "Nederland
First"). |
2026–2028: Strengthen
democratic safeguards (e.g., judicial independence). |
|
Allied Realms |
Putin’s Russia (disinformation), Orban’s Hungary (EU obstruction). |
Dependence on Trump’s stability; economic vulnerabilities (e.g.,
Hungary’s EU fund cuts). |
2026–2028: Deepened
alliances if Trump wins 2028; fractures if he loses. |
4. DARK REALM DYNAMICS
How the System
Operates
Internal Mechanics
- Dark Lord → Horde → Nemesis:
- Trump frames Immigrants and "Deep
State" as existential threats → MAGA Horde radicalizes
(Oath Keepers 2.0) → Nemesis groups (LGBTQ+, Immigrants) face
legal suppression.
- Institutional Capture → Quest Fulfillment:
- Project 2025 replaces federal workers with loyalists
→ enables "Christian Nationalism" as state ideology → self-destructive
policies (NATO withdrawal).
- Feedback Loops:
- Bystanders (e.g., "apolitical"
Republicans) normalize orcism → Profiteers (fossil fuel
lobby) fund the system → Resisters (Lincoln Project) expose
hypocrisy (e.g., Jan. 6 pardons vs. "law and order"
rhetoric).
External Interactions
- Allied Realms (Putin/Orban): Reinforce MAGA via propaganda
alliances (e.g., 2025 Trump-Putin deal to halt Ukraine aid).
- Borderlands (Netherlands/Italy): Risk contamination (e.g., Wilders’
"Nederland First" mimics MAGA).
- Free Peoples’ Realms (EU/Canada/Blue States): Counter with sanctions (e.g., EU
penalties on Hungary) and support for Resisters (e.g., Canadian
asylum for U.S. journalists).
Escalation Pathways (2026–2028)
- Violence: MAGA militias may attempt state takeovers
- Institutional Collapse: Supreme Court could legalize Trump’s
third term
- Global Spread: EU far-right (Meloni IT, Wilders
NL) adopts MAGA tactics (e.g., "biological weapons"
rhetoric).
5. PROSPECTS & COUNTER-ORCISM
STRATEGIES
What’s Next + How
to Resist
|
Risk |
Likelihood (2026–2028) |
Counter-Strategy |
|
MAGA militias seize state governments (e.g., Texas). |
High |
Monitor state legislatures; support local Resisters (e.g., Texas Democrats). |
|
Supreme Court legalizes Trump’s third term. |
Medium-High |
Pressure blue-state AGs
to challenge federal overreach; international legal avenues (ICC). |
|
EU far-right adopts MAGA tactics. |
High |
EU sanctions on U.S. lobbyists; fund pro-democracy media in Borderlands. |
|
Economic collapse from tariffs/NATO withdrawal. |
High |
Highlight self-destructive trade-offs in media; support affected industries
(e.g., farmers). |
For Free Peoples’
Realms (EU/US Blue States):
- Sanction Profiteers: Target fossil fuel lobbyists (via
OpenSecrets).
- Protect Resisters: Offer asylum to U.S. journalists
(e.g., CPJ).
- Expose Hypocrisy: Amplify contradictions (e.g.,
"law and order" vs. Jan. 6 pardons).
For Borderlands:
- Strengthen Media Literacy: Counter MAGA-style disinformation.
- Borderland countries: Mutual Trade Agreements
For Resisters
(Media/Activists):
- Unify Opposition: Join Lincoln Project 2.0 or local
anti-fascist coalitions.
6. HISTORICAL PARALLELS
Contextualizing
MAGA’s Dark Realm
|
2026 MAGA Trait |
Historical Parallel |
Why It Matters |
|
"Biological weapons" rhetoric |
Nazi Untermenschen (1930s) |
Dehumanization precedes violence (e.g., Kristallnacht →
Holocaust). |
|
Project 2025 |
Pinochet’s 1973 purge |
Bureaucratic capture
enables dictatorship (e.g., Chile’s Caravan of Death). |
|
ICE |
Nazi SA (Brownshirts) |
Street-level enforcers
escalate to state terror (e.g., Night of the Long Knives). |
|
"Christian Nationalism" |
Taliban’s Islamic Emirate |
Mythic goals replace
pluralism (e.g., Afghanistan’s gender apartheid). |
|
Trump-Putin alliance |
Axis Powers (1936–1945) |
Authoritarian blocs reinforce
each other (e.g., Molotov-Ribbentrop Pact → WWII). |
REFERENCES
[1] Project 2025.
(2026). Implementation Report. Heritage Foundation. Link
[2] Supreme Court. (2025). Dobbs v. Jackson Overturned. Link
[3] DOJ. (2025). Trump Investigations Dropped. Link
[4] Trump, D. (2025). Rally in Arizona. "Biological weapons"
remark. Link
[5] Trump, D. (2026). Press Conference. "Enemies of the State"
list. Link
[6] Trump, D. (2026). State of the Union Address. Link
[7] RNC. (2026). "Golden Age of Trump" Speech. Link
[8] Oath Keepers. (2026). Membership Report. Link
[9] RNC. (2026). "True MAGA" Loyalty Oaths. Link
[10] GOP. (2025). Cheney’s Expulsion. Link
[11] Kinzinger, A. (2025). Security Detail Incident. Link
[12] Florida Legislature. (2026). "Don’t Say Gay" Expansion. Link
[13] Fox News. (2025). "Biological Weapons" Segment. Link
[14] ACLU. (2026). "Groomer" Laws Report. Link
[15] OpenSecrets. (2025). Fossil Fuel Lobbying. Link
[16] Pentagon. (2026). "Civil War Preparedness" Contracts. Link
[17] Lincoln Project. (2026). Rebranding Announcement. Link
[18] Cheney, L. (2026). Democracy Defense Fund. Link
[19] EU Council. (2025). Trump-Aligned Lobbyists Sanctioned. Link
[20] Canada Immigration. (2026). Asylum for US Journalists. Link
[21] Italian Parliament. (2026). Immigration Law. Link
[22] Dutch Parliament. (2027). "Nederland First" Policy. Link
[23] White House. (2025). Ukraine Aid Halt. Link
[24] EU Council. (2026). Hungary Sanctions. Link
[25] Georgia Court. (2026). RICO Case Updates. Link
[26] Federal Reserve. (2026). Recession Report. Link
